CDC Prepares for Perfect Storm: “The Next Plane Could Bring a Pandemic…”

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CDC Prepares for Perfect Storm: “The Next Plane Could Bring a Pandemic…”
Mac Slavo
January 30th, 2014
SHTFplan.com
Comments (292)
Read by 15,934 people


pandemic2

It’s happening.

The avian flu virus, which up until last year infected poultry exclusively, has now mutated and crossed over to humans.

What’s even scarier is the fact that the Chinese have been unable to contain the novel H7N9 strain of the virus and health officials the world over are getting ready for the worst. It’s spreading and we now have confirmation that the virus has begun appearing in other countries.

On Thursday, billions of Chinese will be on the move to celebrate the Lunar New Year, creating ripe conditions for the spread of the influenza virus from those already infected. And many of those celebrations will include chickens, the primary carriers of H7N9. In addition, with the Winter Olympics, one of the world’s largest sporting events, just two weeks away, the virus could find the ideal conditions for breaking out.

And that means the next plane could bring a pandemic to the U.S. or anywhere else around the world. “The bottom line is the health security of the U.S. is only as strong as the health security of every country around the world,” says Dr. Thomas Frieden, director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control.

“We are all connected by the food we eat, the water the drink and the air we breathe.”

But that’s not the worst of it. Last year the World Health Organization warned that H7N9 is one of the most lethal influenza strains ever identified.

Of the nearly 250 officially confirmed reports of human infection since last year, a quarter of those infected have died.

Those are the official numbers, but it is likely that the number of active infections could be a hundred-fold (or more) higher.

Moreover, like any flu virus, H7N9 continues to mutate and scientists recently suggested that all it would take for this particular strain to become a deadly global pandemic is an increase in its transmission rate.

It was initially thought that the virus only spread through human contact with poultry, but that theory was quickly turned on its head when a team of researchers at the University of Hong Kong confirmed that the virus had gone airborne.

If H7N9 mutates to transmission rates of other flu viruses, which is certainly a possibility, then we could well be looking at a mass global pandemic – and according to WHO the H7N9 is mutating eight ( times faster than a typical flu virus.

To put this in perspective, the 1918 Spanish Flu infected as many as half a billion people (about a quarter of the world’s population). The mortality rate was somewhere in the area of 5% to 10%, with a final death toll of around 50 million people.

At a 25% mortality rate the H7N9 avlian flu, combined with modern transportation systems and metropolitan areas housing tens of millions of people, there is serious potential for a globally significant catastrophe.

Should this virus increase its transmission rate we could be looking at a scenario where a billion or more people contract the virus around the world.

The math is straight forward. One in four will perish.

While we’ve had pandemic scares in the recent past, this one really has researchers and global health officials spooked:

The fast mutation makes the virus’ evolutionary development very hard to predict. “We don’t know whether it will evolve into something harmless or dangerous,” He said. “Our samples are too limited. But the authorities should definitely be alarmed and get prepared for the worst-case scenario.”

As of yet, there is no available vaccine, and one novel mechanism of action for H7N9 is that as soon as it infects its host it develops rapid antiviral resistance, so traditional medicines like Tamiflu don’t work.

One infected student at a local school, or a restaurant worker, or a passenger on an airplane could take this to the next level.

And once it takes hold, there will be no stopping it.

Most don’t believe it is possible with our advanced sciences and research facilities.

History proves otherwise.

Plague of Justinian (541 – 542) – At it’s peak over 5,000 people per day died in the city of Constantinople
Black Death (1348 – 1350) – Over 75 Million Dead. Nearly 60% of Europe.
Smallpox (16th Century) – Wiped out entire civilizations like the Aztecs.
The Third Pandemic (1855 – circa 1990) – A Bubonic Plague that killed over 10 million in China and India
The Spanish Flu (1918 – 1919) – Over 50 million dead

The only steps one can take is to be ready in advance with a Pandemic Preparedness Plan, as recommended by Tess Pennington:

When an outbreak occurs, many will remain in a state of denial about any approaching epidemics. Simply put, most people believe themselves to be invincible to negative situations and do not like the idea change of any kind.

They will remain in this state until they realize they are unable to deny it to themselves any longer. Being prepared before the masses come out of their daze will ensure that you are better prepared before the hoards run to the store to stock up.

In addition to remaining isolated from the general population, you must have (in advance) access to food, water, medicine, and self defense armaments.

If such a virus were to spread, infecting millions and killing off 25% of those who contract it, you can be assured of widespread panic as the unprepared search and fight for resources.
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Comments section:
Be informed says:
Comment ID: 2924931
January 30, 2014 at 2:24 pm

I have always worried about the filo viruses mutanting with something that is spread through the throat, nose, and mouth. Samllpox can have hemoorrhagic qualities in which the skin literally comes together between the blisters. Looks like warped rubber. The way the filo viruses spread is frightening as each time the virus spreads to new cells it pulls out what looks like fishing line and snags out to the cell, hence the name filo. The bad thing about these viruses is they go after internal organs rather than the flu usually staying focuses on one part of the bodym the airways.

With any viruses it is the speed at which it shuts down the body and of course how many individual viral particles can make you sick. There are some virus such as Lassa Fever that are extremely contagious and can cause infection with as little as a few individuals virus particles. Smallpox for example usually causes sickness with several hundred to thousands. This is why people have tried to build up immunity to plagues by giving someone less than what could cause sickness in hopes of the body recognizing the pathogen and stopping it when they were contaminated with much more. Someone that gets a few viral particles of the flu for example will not likely get sick. This is why you can usually be safe within 6 feet of someone that is sick, not concentrated enough.

WHEN something occurs from a test tube or nature it is going to horrible. Nature has killed off more species with disease than anything else. Every single life form has a pathogen gunning for them, including even bacteria. The main way to avoid getting sick is simple, avoid the areas that can make you sick. A prepper/survivalist can stay in their home or safe place for long periods of time and survive on what they have stored up. Anyone that doubts why having a stockpile is a good idea I remind them of this about a pandemic, that has occurred over and over again through not only human history, but plant and animals.

Hammerhead is absolutely correct, be hands aware, as the most concentrated form of any germ is going to be on your hands from objects that sick people touch over and over again.