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| Subject: 'Indications and warnings' from China Fri Jul 31, 2020 12:03 pm | |
| 'Indications and warnings' from ChinaBy Bill Gertz - The Washington Times - Wednesday, July 29, 2020Authorities in Beijing are taking steps that are setting off alarm bells inside the U.S. military and intelligence communities.What intelligence agencies call “indications and warnings” — signs of potential hostile military or other actions against the United States — are being detected from inside China. Analysts suggest these movements reveal Beijing may be preparing for some type of military or covert action.One indicator was Twitter video showing authorities putting up signs telling citizens how to take cover in a bomb shelter.The account @TruthAbtChina on July 25 tweeted video from Beijing and Shanghai showing posters instructing people how to go to underground bunkers if an alarm signals a military attack.One poster read: “How to quickly enter the wartime civil air defense facility after you hear the alarm.”
Civil defense has been a major focus of Chinese Communist Party leaders since the 1960s, when Beijing feared attack from the Soviet Union. Also, China’s “Great Underground Wall” — 3,000 miles of tunnels connecting nuclear missiles, warheads and production plants — highlights the CCP’s concern with underground facilities. |
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| Subject: China just conducted a bomber exercise targeting US aircraft carriers Fri Jul 31, 2020 12:06 pm | |
| China just conducted a bomber exercise targeting US aircraft carriers
China wants America to know its aircrews are ready and able to fire anti-ship and, soon, ballistic missiles into U.S. Navy aircraft carriers.
On Thursday, a Chinese defense ministry spokesman stated, "Recently, the Southern Theater Naval Air Force organized the H-6G, H-6J, and other new fighters to carry out high-intensity training day and night in the relevant waters of the South China Sea and completed training subjects such as day and night take-offs and landings, long-range attacks, and attacks on sea targets."
It's clear that this exercise is designed to send a message to the United States. Consider the spokesman's choice of words. The references to "high-intensity training" in the "South China Sea" with a focus on "long-range attacks and attacks on sea targets" can be translated to: wartime training in at-range strikes on the U.S. Navy's carrier strike groups. The spokesman's two separate references to "night" operations are also important. That's because the People's Liberation Army knows the U.S. military believes its aircrews lack competency and capability in night combat operations.
The detailed description of the aircraft involved further disabuses any doubt that U.S. aircraft carriers are on China's mind.
The H-6G bomber is designed to carry anti-ship cruise missiles with a range of up to 200 kilometers. Similarly, the newer H-6J is designed to carry China's more advanced YJ-12 anti-ship cruise missile. That missile has a range of 400 kilometers. Both these missile platforms aim to limit American defenses. They mean that a carrier strike group's air wing would have to interdict the bombers before they launched their missiles or that the carrier group's air defense cruiser/destroyers would have to engage the missiles after launch and when in range of their RIM-66 air defense systems.
While the air-to-air interdiction opportunity is something the U.S. Navy's fighter squadrons train extensively for, China's threat competencies are growing here. Announcements like this one should not be viewed as simple blustering rhetoric. Especially in the context of Xi Jinping's growing consideration of his own leadership credibility and the South China Sea situation as being intrinsically matched together.
And China is preparing even greater threats. Beijing will soon employ an air-launched variant of its DF-21 anti-ship ballistic missile on its H-6K class of bombers. In war, the PLA could then launch saturation strikes of those missiles from both ground and air units. With a range of 3,000 kilometers, the threat these missiles pose to U.S. aircraft carriers is more significant than the U.S. Navy admits.
Where does this leave us?
Well, the strategic context to these exercises matters greatly. Tensions between Beijing and Washington over the South China Sea are growing rapidly, with each side conducting more regular and aggressive exercises. Also this week, for example, the U.S. military increased its intelligence collection on Chinese mainland forces, or possibly the Chinese H-6 exercises, with escalating reconnaissance flights just off the Chinese coast.
Put simply, conflict is a greater near-term possibility than is commonly assumed. |
| | | Dove Super Elite
Posts : 92242 Reputation : 524 Join date : 2011-08-18
| Subject: Re: 'Indications and warnings' from China Fri Jul 31, 2020 1:47 pm | |
| From the first article posted: "Also, China’s “Great Underground Wall” — 3,000 miles of tunnels connecting nuclear missiles, warheads and production plants — highlights the CCP’s concern with underground facilities ---------------- Couple that with the drills for the people to seek shelter in underground bunkers, and you've made a human shield protecting your weapons caches. I want to know the thoughts of God. Everything else is just details. A Miracle is when God makes His Reality our Experience
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| | | researcher Admin
Posts : 14676 Reputation : 962 Join date : 2011-08-13 Age : 72 Location : San Diego
| Subject: Re: 'Indications and warnings' from China Fri Jul 31, 2020 2:57 pm | |
| - Dove wrote:
Couple that with the drills for the people to seek shelter in underground bunkers, and you've made a human shield protecting your weapons caches. Not on my watch! If it's war, screw the crying liberal pussies that say 'but they are innocent human shields' and push the frikin' button. If the Chinese are stupid enough to pack everyone underground a couple of bombs of various types could play roasty-toasty with a lot of chi-coms with no place else to run. Can you say "death trap"? Kinda like killing termites with those high voltage eletro-zap guns. Once one termite explodes the steaming bug parts are conductive and the zap moves on through the entire tunnel pathway termite by termite until they are all cooked. !! FOXTROT JULIET BRAVO !! | |
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| Subject: The Heart Of The Matter In The South China Sea:A crucial Chinese report, Sat Aug 01, 2020 5:32 am | |
| Escobar: The Heart Of The Matter In The South China Sea:A crucial Chinese report, unavailable and not referred to by Western media,refers to US Growler electronic warplanes rendered totally out of control by electronic jamming devices in South China Sea Escobar: The Heart Of The Matter In The South China Seaby Tyler DurdenFri, 07/31/2020 - 22:45Authored by Pepe Escobar via The Asia Times,When the Ronald Reagan and Nimitz carrier strike groups recently engaged in “operations” in the South China Sea, it did not escape to many a cynic that the US Pacific Fleet was doing its best to turn the infantile Thucydides Trap theory into a self-fulfilling prophecy.The pro forma official spin, via Rear Adm. Jim Kirk, commander of the Nimitz, is that the ops were conducted to “reinforce our commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific, a rules-based international order, and to our allies and partners”.Nobody pays attention to these clichés, because the real message was delivered by a CIA operative posing as diplomat, Secretary of State Mike “We Lie, We Cheat, We Steal” Pompeo: “The PRC has no legal grounds to unilaterally impose its will on the region”, in a reference to the Nine-Dash Line. For the State Dept., Beijing deploys nothing but “gangster tactics” in the South China Sea.Once again, nobody paid attention, because the actual facts on the sea are stark. Anything that moves in the South China Sea – China’s crucial maritime trade artery – is at the mercy of the PLA, which decides if and when to deploy their deadly DF-21D and DF-26 “carrier killer” missiles.There’s absolutely no way the US Pacific Fleet can win a shooting war in the South China Sea. Electronically jammedA crucial Chinese report, unavailable and not referred to by Western media, and translated by Hong Kong-based analyst Thomas Wing Polin, is essential to understand the context.The report refers to US Growler electronic warplanes rendered totally out of control by electronic jamming devices positioned on islands and reefs in the South China Sea.According to the report, “after the accident, the United States negotiated with China, demanding that China dismantle the electronic equipment immediately, but it was rejected. These electronic devices are an important part of China’s maritime defense and are not offensive weapons. Therefore, the US military’s request for dismantling is unreasonable.”It gets better: - Quote :
- “On the same day, former commander Scott Swift of the US Pacific Fleet finally acknowledged that the US military had lost the best time to control the South China Sea. He believes that China has deployed a large number of Hongqi 9 air defense missiles, H-6K bombers, and electronic jamming systems on islands and reefs. The defense can be said to be solid. If US fighter jets rush into the South China Sea, they are likely to encounter their ‘Waterloo.’”
The bottom line is that the systems – including electronic jamming – deployed by the PLA on islands and reefs in the South China Sea, covering more than half of the total surface, are considered by Beijing to be part of the national defense system.I have previously detailed what Admiral Philip Davidson, when he was still a nominee to lead the US Pacific Command (PACOM), told the US Senate. Here are his Top Three conclusions: - Quote :
- 1) “China is pursuing advanced capabilities (e.g., hypersonic missiles) which the United States has no current defense against. As China pursues these advanced weapons systems, US forces across the Indo-Pacific will be placed increasingly at risk.”
2) “China is undermining the rules-based international order.” 3) “China is now capable of controlling the South China Sea in all scenarios short of war with the United States.” Implied in all of the above is the “secret” of the Indo-Pacific strategy: at best a containment exercise, as China continues to solidify the Maritime Silk Road linking the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean.more @ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-heart-matter-south-china-sea |
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